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Informing Hawaii's voters

Why Were the Polls So Wrong?

Neil Abercrombie (D) whupped Duke Aiona (R) by a lead of 17 percent, surprising many because the polls showed them to be running a far closer race. The special election polls for U.S. House District 1 showed Colleen Hanabusa (D) to be consistently and often significantly lagging fellow Democrat Ed Case and Republican Charles Djou. Djou won that May election, but with the shocker of Hanabusa finishing 3 percent ahead of Case.

Showing why comments from the public can be exceptionally beneficial, Ray, who did the Abercrombie and Hanabusa pollings, he says, which were, again he says, highly accurate, writes,

Some people use polls to raise money; others to stir the troops, others to impact public opinion; we only poll to help direct the campaign.

Get a rare insider look at polling by looking for Ray's comment on Ian Lind's website.


Weird Findings from 2010's Exit Poll Data [Mother Jones]

Spitzer Attempts to Skewer Rand Paul

Former New York governor Eliot Spitzer (D), who campaigned on ethics and later made headlines in 2008 when he resigned his gubernatorial position in the wake of a sex scandal, has been a political commentator on CNN since June.

In the following interview he asks some pretty stupid questions of newly elected Senator Rand Paul (R), such as will he balance the national budget by making huge cuts in benefits to Kentucky specifically. No matter what Paul says, Spitzer continues on this track ad nauseam.

When Rand Paul finally says to him, "Your personal agenda is getting in the way of your being a good broadcaster," Spitzer loses his cool and his tenuous grip on reality and civility, possibly because his show has dismal ratings and many consider him to be a poor excuse for a political commentator.


CBO on the Health Care Bill: More Spending, More Tax Revenue [Reason] Aug 26, 2010

Reject the Welfare/Warfare State

by Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX)

Last week’s midterm elections have been characterized as a victory for grassroots Americans who are fed up with Washington and the political status quo. In particular, the elections are being touted as a clear indicator that voters demand reductions in federal spending, deficits, and debt.

If the new Congress hopes to live up to the expectations of Tea Party voters, however, it faces some daunting choices. For all the talk about pork and waste, the truth is that Congress cannot fix the budget and get our national debt under control by trimming fat and eliminating earmarks for “Bridges to Nowhere.”

Real reductions in federal spending can be achieved only by getting to the meat of the federal budget, meaning expenditures in all areas. The annual budget soon will be $5 trillion unless Congress takes serious steps to reduce spending for entitlements, military, and debt service. Yet how many Tea Party candidates who campaigned on a platform of spending cuts talked about Social Security, Medicare, foreign wars, or bond debt?

With regard to entitlements, the 2010 Social Security and Medicare Trustees report tells it all. It paints a stark picture of two entitlement programs that cannot be sustained under even the rosiest scenarios of economic growth. No one, regardless of political stripe, can deny the fundamental problem of unfunded future liabilities in both programs.

We should understand that Social Security was intended primarily to prevent old widows from becoming destitute. Life expectancy in 1935 was only about 65, when there were several workers for each Social Security recipient. The program was never intended to be a general transfer payment from young workers to older retirees, regardless of those retirees’ financial need. Yet today Social Security faces an unfunded liability of approximately $18 trillion.

First, Congress needs to stop using payroll taxes for purposes not related to Social Security, which was a trick the Clinton administration used to claim balanced budgets. Second, Congress should eliminate unconstitutional spending — including unnecessary overseas commitments — and use the saved funds to help transition to a Social Security system that is completely voluntary. At some point in the near future Congress must allow taxpayers to opt out of federal payroll taxes in exchange for never receiving Social Security benefits.

Medicare similarly faces a shortfall of $30.8 trillion in unfunded future benefits. The Part D prescription drug benefit accounts for approximately $15.5 trillion, or half of the unfunded Medicare liability. Congress should immediately repeal the disastrous drug benefit passed in 2003 by President Bush and a Republican Congress.

Fiscal conservatives should not be afraid to attack entitlements philosophically. We should reject the phony narrative that entitlement programs are inherently noble or required by “progressive” western values. Why exactly should Americans be required, by force of taxation, to fund retirement or medical care for senior citizens, especially senior citizens who are comfortable financially? And if taxpayers provide retirement and health care benefits to some older Americans who are less well off, can’t we just call it welfare instead of maintaining the charade about “insurance” and “trust funds”?

Military spending and interest on the national debt similarly represent large federal expenditures that Congress must address by rethinking our foreign policy and exercising far greater oversight over the Federal Reserve and the Treasury department.

I have for a long time criticized our interventionist foreign policy and the Fed, and I will continue to do so. It’s time for Congress to face the fundamental problems that affect Social Security and Medicare, and show the courage necessary to make real changes to both programs by rejecting the welfare/warfare state.

Obama Reflects on the Election and His Presidency

President Obama takes questions on November 4 from Steve Kroft in his first one-on-one interview since his party's midterm election defeat in the House.

Following is the full 70-minute interview.

Transcript Part 1

Transcript Part 2

Marco Rubio Interview on Morning Joe

Marco Rubio (R), the newly elected Senator from Florida, is getting a lot of buzz and is even being mentioned as a possible presidential candidate in 2012. He is a favorite of the tea party group.

Rubio, whose parents are originally from Cuba, is interviewed on Morning Joe a few days before the general election, which he won by a wide margin.

Uncle Scam's Rip Off 101

From an email Hawaii Political Info (HPI) received yesterday:

Jesse The Body Slams Goldman=Government Sachs ...

An Absolute MUST WATCH

. . surprisingly comprehensive & of course entertaining presentation of what is happening right NOW

If you live, work and pay taxes in America to Uncle Scam, then it is your civic duty to suffer through Jesse's TV docu-drama to learn where YOUR tax dollars are flowing  - another $600 Billion to $1 Trillion starting Monday !!! -  to Goldman=Government Sachs


HPI note: QE2 is the acronym for the second round by the Fed for what they have dubbed quantitative easing. This episode of Conspiracy Theory with Jesse Ventura just aired on Friday.

Part 1 of 2

Part 2 of 2

Video courtesy of


US Fed unveils new stimulus package[Al Jazeera] Th, Nov 4, 2010

The New Stimulus Package and How it Affects You [] Fri, Nov 5, 2010

Fraudonomics [New York Press] Apr 28, 2010 (Caution: Four-letter words liberally sprinkled throughout)

11 Foreign Governments Granted Permission to Challenge Arizona Law

Foreign governments, working hand in hand with the Obama administration, are allowed to pursue their interests in an American court in opposition to Arizona's immigration law!

A must see!

October 6, 2010

Mahalos to Howard Saiki for alerting HPI to this video.


Latin American Governments Still Allowed to Oppose Arizona in U.S. Court [Bloomberg] Nov 1, 2010

84 Americans Killed Near Mexican Border Town This Year

Chris Burgard, filmmaker of the documentary Border, tells about the dangerous situation in Mexico that has been spilling over our southern border into the U.S.

The area of Ciudad Juarez, a U.S. - Mexico border town, was the location of 84 American deaths this year alone.

TSA Fondles Women and Children Refusing Airport Naked Body Scanners

A woman working for Alex Jones describes the pat down she and her two young daughters got a couple of weeks ago after refusing a naked body scan.

TSA: America’s Real Child Pornography/Molestation Syndicate

William L. Anderson

by William L. Anderson

Earlier this year, I took on the authorities who put Tonya Craft on trial in North Georgia for allegedly molesting three children, including her own daughter. Thanks to Ms. Craft’s tenacity for the truth and a good legal team, the jury acquitted her of all 22 counts after a month-long trial in which prosecution witnesses clearly committed perjury and one of the prosecutors, Christopher Arnt, openly lied to jurors in closing arguments. (The jurors themselves were the ones making that last statement, not me.)

Ms. Craft was one of thousands of Americans who each year are charged and tried for what supposedly is an epidemic of child abuse/molestation, and it also is clear that the charges often are false, brought by ex-spouses in custody proceedings (in order to gain leverage) or by vengeful neighbors and others. In the Craft case, it was both.

This set of judicial travesties came, not surprisingly, after the passage of federal legislation, the Child Abuse Prevention and Treatment Act of 1974, also called the Mondale Act after the law’s sponsor, Walter Mondale. (Perhaps it is ironic that Mondale, who is a self-proclaimed "social justice" advocate, is more responsible for wrongful convictions and destruction of individuals and families than any other American in the nation’s history, as literally thousands of people have gone to prison even though it is clear the charges against them were false, fed by the hysteria that Mondale helped to create.)

The authorities want us to believe that there are abusers and molesters lurking behind every tree and that they are operating everywhere. On my blog, I have written about a number of cases in which authorities at government schools and elsewhere, along with an army of "child protective" workers employed by government, have interrogated children until they "disclosed" abuse, even when it was obvious that no abuse had occurred. (Schools especially are hot to push children to "disclose" what authorities call "bad touches" even if that touch might be a pat on the back. I’m not kidding.)

Moreover, authorities are hot to prosecute individuals for possession of "child pornography," and even parents who innocently took pictures of their young children in the bathtub have been prosecuted as "child pornographers." Even to glance at a picture of a nude child in America today is a crime and can land an unsuspecting person in prison.

One would think that federal and state authorities, then, would be highly interested to know that each day, individuals wearing costumes engage in both child pornography and "bad touches," and do it in full view of others. Where does this happen? At U.S. airports, which feature the infamous backscatter "imaging" machines, along with full "pat-downs" for people who decline to be subjected to a virtual strip search.

While the government has released the fuzzy photos of actual people who have been scanned by these machines, in reality the pictures are extremely clear. Furthermore, the people wearing Transportation Security Administration costumes each day examine both full frontal and rear pictures of the nude bodies of adults and children, even though it is against the law for anyone to look at a picture of a nude child on a computer screen, something that has landed many people in prison for long terms.

I am not joking. Moreover, people who decline to be photographed are then subjected to the "pat down" searches in which TSA employees rub their hands upon the genitals and breasts of women (on the outside of their clothing). What one needs to understand is that if one does that to another person in another setting, one can go to prison for sexual assault. In fact, one does not need even to touch any of those areas to be charged with child molestation.

Let me give an example. In Catoosa County (where Tonya Craft’s trial took place), Georgia, James Combs, a substitute teacher, is charged with child molestation because he patted some children on the back during class. (I have read the police reports in this case, along with other documents, and can tell readers confidently that Mr. Combs did not molest anyone, but in the aftermath of the Craft debacle, the Catoosa County authorities are desperate to get back their credibility and hope a jury will convict Mr. Combs.)

Nowhere in those police reports has there been a credible description of Mr. Combs doing what TSA workers do every day at airports. In other words, these workers have a free pass to do what would land anyone else into prison.

But there is more. Readers might object to my contentions, claiming, "They are just doing their jobs!" That, of course, is nonsense, but it is worse than nonsense; it is dangerous nonsense.

Why do I say that? We already know that certain jobs will involve self-selection of people with certain traits and viewpoints. In my own profession, academic economics, the field of labor economics often attracts activist women on the Left because of "discrimination" issues in the area of race and sex in the workplace. Furthermore, because leftist women so dominate the field, most males in economics doctoral programs avoid the labor field altogether, as federal hiring laws make it difficult for them to gain academic jobs when women apply for the same position.

Given the realities of occupational self-selection, one almost can be sure that the prospect of looking at photographs of nude children and engaging in the act of "feeling up" adults and children will attract sexual perverts to TSA employment. Does that mean everyone in the TSA is a sex pervert? Obviously, not.

However, because the jobs really do involve being able to examine what clearly are pornographic images and the placing of one’s hands on the genitals and breasts of adults and children, there is no doubt that the job description alone is going to attract sexually perverted people. After all, TSA employment permits workers to do something "under color of law" that would land one in prison elsewhere.

At this point, I am sure that some readers will object, claiming that I am making false accusations against "the brave men and women who protect us from terrorists." To that, I say: Yeah, right. We are speaking about people who are making salaries that dwarf what most people make in the private sector (or in the classroom as teachers, for that matter), and who really need no qualifications other than being alive. To my knowledge, no TSA worker ever has prevented a "terrorist" attack, nor has their ubiquitous presence made flying any safer. In truth, TSA workers are useless (and often dangerous) tax feeders.

Furthermore, because they are protected by law, TSA workers are able to push the bounds of decency beyond limits that ordinary people can imagine. For example, Lew Rockwell recently published this post on his blog:

A great man had to go through his first invasive pat-down at the airport the other day, since his knee replacements bar him from the naked x-ray machine. This is a the kindest, most well-mannered man I know, but after four very hard jabs to his genitals, he asked the federal agent: "How can you live with yourself, feeling up men all day?" "I love my job," sneered the goon.

Lest someone think I am being unfair, if James Combs or anyone else charged with child molestation in the line of work had made such a statement ("I love my job"), prosecutors would use that statement against him in court, as they would claim that it was a self-admission of guilt.

Don’t kid yourselves. The prospect of getting one’s sexual jollies on the job is so great that I can guarantee you that TSA employment is attracting real sex perverts, people who both can "love their job" while engaging in sexual assault. A lot of people today are in prison for doing much less than what these people do every day of the year.

November 5, 2010

William L. Anderson, Ph.D. [send him mail], teaches economics at Frostburg State University in Maryland, and is an adjunct scholar of the Ludwig von Mises Institute. He also is a consultant with American Economic Services. Visit his blog.

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